Alzheimer’s is on the rise
- Monthly granularity was limited to 1999 through 2019.
- No cases were reported prior to 1999.
- Linear regression and Prophet models were run against this historical data.
- Polynomial regression used due to linear regression assumptions not being met.
Current State
More recent data shows growth slightly more than expected, reaching a 36 Crude Rate by the end of 2023.
Alzheimer’s is on the rise
- Monthly granularity was limited to 1999 through 2019.
- No cases were reported prior to 1999.
- Linear regression and Prophet models were run against this historical data.
- Polynomial regression used due to linear regression assumptions not being met.
# of symptoms and comorbid count are skewed right
- Regarding number of symptoms, most cases only show about one symptom.
- Additionally, almost all cases of Alzheimer’s deaths had underlying causes.
# of symptoms and comorbid count are skewed right
- Those within the age groups of 65-74 and 75-84 represent those highest at risk of death from Alzheimer’s.
- Obesity is one of the most common groups, but those with normal BMI are 2nd.
- “Mini-Mental State Examination” levels are most logical, but there were still significant cases of those with mild and moderate levels.